Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
Brentford xG
Expected goals
2
Chelsea xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
89%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
4–1
5%
4–2
5%
Home
Brentford
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Chelsea
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brentford vs Chelsea?
Brentford is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brentford's current form?
Brentford have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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