Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Brentford xG
Expected goals
1.5
Arsenal xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
1–0
8%
2–1
8%
0–0
6%
Home
Brentford
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brentford vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brentford's current form?
Brentford have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Premier League