Aston Villavs
Sunderland
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1.2
Sunderland xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–1
9%
1–0
8%
2–0
8%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Sunderland
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Aston Villa is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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