Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1.2
Fulham xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
10%
2–1
9%
2–0
8%
0–1
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Fulham
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Aston Villa is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Premier League