Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1.7
Everton xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Everton
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Everton?
Everton is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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