Aston Villavs
Crystal Palace
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
2.1
Crystal Palace xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Crystal Palace
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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