Match Analysis

Aston VillavsBrentford

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
17%
68%
Aston Villa winDrawBrentford win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.23Avg goals scored2.02
1.81Avg goals conceded1.13
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

2.5

Brentford xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

7%

0–3

7%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Brentford

Brentford

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Brentford?

Brentford is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aston Villa Win15%
Draw17%
Brentford Win68%
BTTS61%
Over 2.570%