Aston Villa vs Arsenal
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1.7
Arsenal xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0โ1
11%
1โ1
11%
0โ2
10%
1โ2
10%
0โ0
7%
1โ0
7%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 3, drew 1, and Arsenal won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0โ1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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