Match Analysis

ArsenalvsAFC Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

84%
11%
5%
Arsenal winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.61Avg goals scored1.12
0.96Avg goals conceded2.46
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Arsenal xG

Expected goals

0.7

AFC Bournemouth xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

3–0

11%

4–0

9%

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

Home

Arsenal

Arsenal

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth?

Arsenal is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Arsenal Win84%
Draw11%
AFC Bournemouth Win5%
BTTS48%
Over 2.573%