Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Troyes xG
Expected goals
2.9
Lyon xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
16%
0–3
15%
0–1
11%
0–4
11%
0–5
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Troyes
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Troyes vs Lyon?
Lyon is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Troyes's current form?
Troyes have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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