Match Analysis

TroyesvsLyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
9%
88%
Troyes winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.60
0.65Avg goals scored1.80
2.40Avg goals conceded0.79
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Troyes xG

Expected goals

2.9

Lyon xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

16%

0–3

15%

0–1

11%

0–4

11%

0–5

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.4

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Lyon?

Lyon is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win3%
Draw9%
Lyon Win88%
BTTS31%
Over 2.564%