Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Troyes xG
Expected goals
1.9
Le Mans xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
10%
0–2
10%
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–0
6%
0–3
6%
Home
Troyes
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Troyes vs Le Mans?
Le Mans is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Troyes's current form?
Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1