Match Analysis

TroyesvsLe Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
22%
59%
Troyes winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.55Avg goals scored1.24
2.23Avg goals conceded2.27
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Troyes xG

Expected goals

1.9

Le Mans xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

10%

0–2

10%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Le Mans?

Le Mans is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win19%
Draw22%
Le Mans Win59%
BTTS54%
Over 2.555%