Match Analysis

ToulousevsStrasbourg

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
19%
35%
Toulouse winDrawStrasbourg win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.67Avg goals scored1.75
1.86Avg goals conceded1.94
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

2.2

Strasbourg xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

2–1

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

1–2

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Toulouse is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win46%
Draw19%
Strasbourg Win35%
BTTS82%
Over 2.586%