Match Analysis

ToulousevsLe Havre AC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
23%
17%
Toulouse winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
1.67Avg goals scored0.64
1.86Avg goals conceded1.35
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

0.8

Le Havre AC xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

12%

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLDLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?

Toulouse is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win60%
Draw23%
Le Havre AC Win17%
BTTS46%
Over 2.548%