Strasbourg vs Lens
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Strasbourg xG
Expected goals
2.7
Lens xG
84%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
6%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
1–3
5%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
Home
Strasbourg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lens
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Strasbourg vs Lens?
Lens is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Strasbourg's current form?
Strasbourg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, drew 2, and Lens won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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