Stade Rennais vs Marseille
๐ซ๐ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Stade Rennais xG
Expected goals
1.6
Marseille xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2โ1
9%
1โ1
8%
1โ2
7%
2โ2
7%
3โ1
6%
1โ0
5%
Home
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Marseille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Marseille?
Stade Rennais is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Stade Rennais's current form?
Stade Rennais have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Stade Rennais won 2, drew 0, and Marseille won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2โ1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets โ
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1