Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.4
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
0.5
Troyes xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
13%
2–0
12%
4–0
11%
5–0
8%
1–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Troyes
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?
Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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