Paris Saint-Germainvs
Paris FC
FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
1
Paris FC xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
0–1
10%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $177K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Paris FC
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?
Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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