Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
1.4
Lyon xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
0–0
6%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon?
Lyon is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?
Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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