Match Analysis

NicevsTroyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
19%
9%
Nice winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.20
1.04Avg goals scored0.65
1.15Avg goals conceded2.40
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Nice xG

Expected goals

0.5

Troyes xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

16%

2–0

16%

3–0

11%

0–0

8%

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Nice

Nice

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.4

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Troyes?

Nice is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win72%
Draw19%
Troyes Win9%
BTTS34%
Over 2.546%