Match Analysis

NicevsStade Rennais

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
24%
45%
Nice winDrawStade Rennais win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.04Avg goals scored2.13
1.15Avg goals conceded1.64
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.7

Stade Rennais xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Stade Rennais?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win31%
Draw24%
Stade Rennais Win45%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%