Match Analysis

NicevsParis Saint-Germain

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
26%
49%
Nice winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.04Avg goals scored1.95
1.15Avg goals conceded1.22
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.5

Paris Saint-Germain xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

1–0

8%

Home

Nice

Nice

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win25%
Draw26%
Paris Saint-Germain Win49%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%