Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Nice xG
Expected goals
1.1
Lille xG
26%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
22%
0–0
20%
0–2
12%
1–1
11%
1–0
10%
1–2
6%
Home
Nice
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nice vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nice's current form?
Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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