Match Analysis

NicevsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
33%
50%
Nice winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.04Avg goals scored1.41
1.15Avg goals conceded0.63
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.1

Lille xG

26%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

22%

0–0

20%

0–2

12%

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

1–2

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win17%
Draw33%
Lille Win50%
BTTS26%
Over 2.522%