Match Analysis

NicevsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
26%
38%
Nice winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.04Avg goals scored1.74
1.14Avg goals conceded1.60
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lens xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Nice

Nice

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lens

Lens

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win36%
Draw26%
Lens Win38%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%