Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.8
Toulouse xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
Home
Marseille
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Toulouse?
Marseille is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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