Marseillevs
Paris Saint-Germain
FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.7
Paris Saint-Germain xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
2–1
8%
0–2
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Marseille
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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