Match Analysis

MarseillevsNice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
28%
25%
Marseille winDrawNice win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.46Avg goals scored1.04
1.23Avg goals conceded1.15
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Marseille xG

Expected goals

0.9

Nice xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

0–1

10%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Nice

Nice

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Nice?

Marseille is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win47%
Draw28%
Nice Win25%
BTTS43%
Over 2.538%