Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.4
Le Mans xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
7%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Marseille
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Mans?
Marseille is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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