Match Analysis

MarseillevsLe Havre AC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
25%
13%
Marseille winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.60
1.46Avg goals scored0.64
1.23Avg goals conceded1.35
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Marseille xG

Expected goals

0.5

Le Havre AC xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

20%

2–0

15%

0–0

14%

1–1

10%

2–1

8%

3–0

8%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLDLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Havre AC?

Marseille is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win62%
Draw25%
Le Havre AC Win13%
BTTS31%
Over 2.532%