Match Analysis

LyonvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
22%
24%
Lyon winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
1.84Avg goals scored2.27
0.84Avg goals conceded1.41
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.3

Marseille xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Marseille?

Lyon is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win54%
Draw22%
Marseille Win24%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%