Lorient vs Toulouse
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Lorient xG
Expected goals
1.2
Toulouse xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
0–1
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Lorient
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lorient vs Toulouse?
Lorient is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lorient's current form?
Lorient have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lorient won 0, drew 2, and Toulouse won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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