Match Analysis

LorientvsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
36%
44%
Lorient winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.05Avg goals scored1.41
0.96Avg goals conceded0.63
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Lorient xG

Expected goals

0.9

Lille xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

0–1

22%

1–0

12%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

5%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win20%
Draw36%
Lille Win44%
BTTS23%
Over 2.517%