Match Analysis

LillevsLyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
34%
30%
Lille winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.41Avg goals scored1.80
0.63Avg goals conceded0.79
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Lille xG

Expected goals

0.8

Lyon xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

18%

1–0

16%

0–1

15%

1–1

13%

2–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Lyon?

Lille is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win36%
Draw34%
Lyon Win30%
BTTS33%
Over 2.524%