Match Analysis

LillevsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
23%
15%
Lille winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.41Avg goals scored1.74
0.63Avg goals conceded1.60
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Lille xG

Expected goals

0.8

Lens xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

12%

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lens

Lens

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Lens?

Lille is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win62%
Draw23%
Lens Win15%
BTTS46%
Over 2.548%