Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Lens xG
Expected goals
1.8
Toulouse xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
Home
Lens
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Toulouse?
Lens is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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