Match Analysis

LensvsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
19%
27%
Lens winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.74Avg goals scored1.67
1.60Avg goals conceded1.86
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.8

Toulouse xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

Home

Lens

Lens

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Toulouse?

Lens is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win54%
Draw19%
Toulouse Win27%
BTTS77%
Over 2.581%