Match Analysis

LensvsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
28%
43%
Lens winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
1.74Avg goals scored1.20
1.60Avg goals conceded0.74
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.3

Paris FC xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

1–0

10%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Lens

Lens

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Paris FC?

Paris FC is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win29%
Draw28%
Paris FC Win43%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%