Match Analysis

LensvsLyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
23%
49%
Lens winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
2.03Avg goals scored1.84
1.46Avg goals conceded0.84
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.8

Lyon xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Lyon?

Lyon is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win28%
Draw23%
Lyon Win49%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%