โšก Match Analysis

Lens vs Aj Auxerre

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
24%
38%
Lens winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.99Avg goals scored1.92
1.35Avg goals conceded1.01
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.7

AJ Auxerre xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

9%

2โ€“1

8%

0โ€“1

7%

2โ€“2

7%

0โ€“2

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Lensall timeAj Auxerre
2W
1D
1W
17 Jan 26
Lens1โ€“0AJ Auxerre
4 Oct 25
AJ Auxerre1โ€“2Lens
27 Apr 25
Lens0โ€“4AJ Auxerre
14 Dec 24
AJ Auxerre2โ€“2Lens

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Aj Auxerre?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1, and Aj Auxerre won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Lens Win38%
Draw24%
AJ Auxerre Win38%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š