Match Analysis

Le MansvsLorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
26%
43%
Le Mans winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
1.60Avg goals scored1.05
2.06Avg goals conceded0.96
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lorient xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DWDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lorient?

Lorient is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win31%
Draw26%
Lorient Win43%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%