Match Analysis

Le MansvsAS Monaco

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
15%
74%
Le Mans winDrawAS Monaco win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.24Avg goals scored1.72
2.27Avg goals conceded1.01
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

2.7

AS Monaco xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs AS Monaco?

AS Monaco is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win11%
Draw15%
AS Monaco Win74%
BTTS59%
Over 2.571%