Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.7
Brest xG
Expected goals
0.6
Troyes xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
11%
4–0
11%
2–0
9%
5–0
8%
3–1
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Brest
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Troyes
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brest vs Troyes?
Brest is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brest's current form?
Brest have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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