โšก Match Analysis

As Monaco vs Marseille

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
20%
36%
AS Monaco winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.94Avg goals scored1.31
2.28Avg goals conceded1.40
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

2

Marseille xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

7%

1โ€“2

7%

2โ€“1

7%

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“3

5%

2โ€“3

5%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

LLWDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWLDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

As Monacoall timeMarseille
3W
1D
2W
5 Apr 26
AS Monaco2โ€“1Marseille
14 Dec 25
Marseille1โ€“0AS Monaco
12 Apr 25
AS Monaco3โ€“0Marseille
1 Dec 24
Marseille2โ€“1AS Monaco
27 Jan 24
Marseille2โ€“2AS Monaco
30 Sep 23
AS Monaco3โ€“2Marseille

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Marseille?

AS Monaco is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is As Monaco's current form?

As Monaco have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 1, and Marseille won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

AS Monaco Win44%
Draw20%
Marseille Win36%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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