Match Analysis

AS MonacovsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
22%
27%
AS Monaco winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.72Avg goals scored2.03
1.01Avg goals conceded1.46
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lens xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Lens

Lens

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Monaco vs Lens?

AS Monaco is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Monaco's current form?

AS Monaco have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Monaco Win51%
Draw22%
Lens Win27%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%