Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
17%
67%
AJ Auxerre winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.30Avg goals scored1.46
2.63Avg goals conceded1.23
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

2.6

Marseille xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

1–1

7%

0–3

6%

2–2

6%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win16%
Draw17%
Marseille Win67%
BTTS67%
Over 2.575%