Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsBrest

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
10%
81%
AJ Auxerre winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.30Avg goals scored2.26
2.63Avg goals conceded1.43
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

4

Brest xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

91%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

1–2

5%

1–5

5%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Brest

Brest

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Brest?

Brest is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win9%
Draw10%
Brest Win81%
BTTS76%
Over 2.591%