Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Villarreal xG
Expected goals
1.3
Rayo Vallecano xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–1
9%
1–0
7%
2–0
7%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Villarreal
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano?
Villarreal is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Villarreal's current form?
Villarreal have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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