Match Analysis

VillarrealvsEspanyol

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
24%
31%
Villarreal winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.54Avg goals scored1.29
1.53Avg goals conceded1.40
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

1.3

Espanyol xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Villarreal is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win45%
Draw24%
Espanyol Win31%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%