Match Analysis

ValenciavsReal Sociedad

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
20%
57%
Valencia winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
0.93Avg goals scored1.72
1.93Avg goals conceded1.91
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Valencia xG

Expected goals

2.2

Real Sociedad xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Valencia

Valencia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Valencia's current form?

Valencia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Valencia Win23%
Draw20%
Real Sociedad Win57%
BTTS65%
Over 2.568%