โšก Match Analysis

Valencia vs Celta Vigo

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
24%
31%
Valencia winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.73Avg goals scored1.41
1.33Avg goals conceded1.45
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Valencia xG

Expected goals

1.4

Celta Vigo xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

2โ€“0

7%

2โ€“2

7%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Home

Valencia

Valencia

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Valenciaall timeCelta Vigo
1W
2D
3W
5 Apr 26
Valencia2โ€“3Celta Vigo
3 Jan 26
Celta Vigo4โ€“1Valencia
2 Feb 25
Valencia2โ€“1Celta Vigo
23 Aug 24
Celta Vigo3โ€“1Valencia
26 May 24
Celta Vigo2โ€“2Valencia
25 Nov 23
Valencia0โ€“0Celta Vigo

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

Valencia is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Valencia's current form?

Valencia have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Valencia won 1, drew 2, and Celta Vigo won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Valencia Win45%
Draw24%
Celta Vigo Win31%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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