Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Sevilla xG
Expected goals
1.3
Rayo Vallecano xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–2
10%
1–0
10%
1–2
8%
Home
Sevilla
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sevilla's current form?
Sevilla have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 3, drew 3, and Rayo Vallecano won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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