Match Analysis

SevillavsMálaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

70%
20%
10%
Sevilla winDrawMálaga win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
1.68Avg goals scored0.56
1.65Avg goals conceded1.55
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

0.6

Málaga xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

2–0

15%

3–0

10%

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Málaga

Málaga

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Málaga?

Sevilla is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win70%
Draw20%
Málaga Win10%
BTTS39%
Over 2.548%